Adjusted Operating Margin Index

The Shadow Endures: COVID-19 and the Florida Healthcare Budget

Published in South Florida Hospital and Healthcare Association Newsline –

The specter of the novel coronavirus was just a pale shadow as the Florida Legislature held its sine die (dropping-the-handkerchief) ceremony on March 19, 2020, in the hallowed halls of the Florida Legislative Chambers.  The Legislature had worked harmoniously to pass significant healthcare legislation and to deliver its constitutional mandate, a balanced budget for the 2020-2021 fiscal year, even in the wake of the emerging COVID-19 threat.  The Legislature’s proposed budget totaled $93.2 billion, the largest in the state’s history.  In addition, major health care legislative accomplishments included:

  • An expanded scope of practice for advanced practice nurses, in the hopes of improving access to primary care for Floridians;
  • The ability for qualified pharmacists to enter into collaborative practice arrangements with physicians to simplify and enhance the treatment of Floridians afflicted chronic conditions like asthma, arthritis, obesity, and tobacco use, as well as test for and treat ailments like the flu, strep throat, lice and skin conditions like ringworm and athlete’s foot;
  • A mandate for essential providers (like academic medical centers and safety net hospitals) to contract with each Medicaid managed care plan in their region in order to participation in Low Income Pool or other supplemental payments.
  • No Medicaid rate cuts and the continuation of current Medicaid reimbursement methodologies and rates for inpatient and outpatient hospital services.

In normal times, the Governor has 15 days to sign or veto legislation presented to him upon the conclusion of the legislative session. But these are not normal times, so, at the Governor’s request, the Legislature “held on” to some key legislation, allowing the Governor to focus his efforts on dealing with the effects of the virus.  But during that time, COVID-19 raged and Florida became the new national hotspot.  Tourism was dramatically affected, the economy was effectively shut down for a while, and it became increasingly apparent that the state would have a severe revenue shortfall in the coming fiscal year. 

Finally, the Legislature delivered its budget to the Governor on June 17, giving him two weeks to sign it or identify line item vetoes.  Faced with a bitter fiscal reality, the Governor made some difficult choices on June 29, two days before the beginning of the new Fiscal Year on July 1, 2020. Unfortunately, a few meritorious healthcare projects were vetoed, including a proposal to increase the wages of healthcare workers who provide services to those with developmental or intellectual disabilities, and a proposal to increase Medicaid rates for providers who care for people with disabilities in institutions. 

Even with the Governor’s vetoes, however, which totaled more than $1 billion, the state faces a potential budget gap.  Fortunately, the CARES Act, other federal legislation, and the ability to draw upon state reserves will help to plug the gap.  In addition, although he has been loath to do so, the Governor has the ability to call a Special Legislative Session to address current year budget challenges. The final $92.2 billion budget approved by the Governor, shown as a pie chart below, still has healthcare as the largest sector receiving state funding.1

Florida State Budget FY 2020-21

You might be tempted to give a sigh of relief.  After all, the budget has been signed, the vetoes have been made, the current fiscal year is here, and COVID cases in Florida are declining.  But we’re not out of the woods yet.  The COVID shadow has left its ghostly pall on future budget years, and therefore on the healthcare landscape in Florida.  The Florida economy, although showing some signs of recovery, is still reeling with unemployment stuck in double digits (11.3% when last recorded in August)2, and the Medicaid rolls have swollen by 14% due to unemployed workers.3 

Last month, the Florida Revenue Estimating Conference came out with its outlook and projections for the state budget for this year and for FY 2021-2022.  The economists projected a $3.42 billion hit to this year and a $2 billion hit next year due to the nosedive in tax revenues.4  As a consequence, the Governor has asked his agency and department heads to come up with ways to trim their expenditures by 8 1/2% in Fiscal Year 2021-2022.  Any way you slice it, an 8 1/2% reduction to anticipated healthcare expenditures of nearly $40 billion is a substantial sum of money.  All this comes at a time when healthcare organizations are already stretched; median hospital margins were just a meager 3.5% pre-COVID, and are now projected to be -3% in the second quarter of 2020 and could go as low as -11% without additional federal relief.5  Below are a couple of charts showing how the operating margins of hospitals have been affected by COVID-19 and suggesting that, even though the CARES Act and the PPP Provider Relief Fund have provided critical life support for the healthcare organizations, the acute care hospital industry is still in distress.

Adjusted Operating Margin Index
Hospital Losses Compared to CARES Act and PPP Provider Relief Fund

There are no easy solutions, but the obvious warning to healthcare executives is to see the handwriting on the wall and to prepare for tough times to come.  There are some excellent resources for a charting a path to recovery, including from top tier consulting firms like Kaufman Hall, Manatt Health, and Boston Consulting Group.  However here are a few takeaways for your consideration.

  • Stay on top of the anticipated budget and legislative changes brought on by COVID.  Work with your legislators and elected leaders to give them insight into your financial challenges, your role as the community’s safety net, and your plan for recovery.  Advocate for your institution and for your industry. 
  • Develop and broadly communicate your recovery plan.  Pay particular attention to getting your referral practices back on their feet.
  • Leverage your strengths in clinical services and tertiary product lines to lure the general population back to your institution.
  • Communicate with your regional third-party payors about needed contract modifications, and develop a customer-friendly yet financially sound approach to the inevitable rise in self-pay accounts.
  • Capitalize on the industry’s newfound romance with telemedicine, data analytics, and virtual care to enhance your population health strategy and to make your organization indispensable and ubiquitous in your service area.
  • Above all, demonstrate your leadership, your compassion, and your unwavering commitment to once again becoming a pillar of financial strength and the premier purveyor of service, quality, and safety within your community.

Footnotes:

  1. https://floridataxwatch.org/Research/Budget-Hub, “The Taxpayers Guide to Florida’s FY2020-21 State Budget”
  2. https://floridajobs.org/news-center/DEO-Press/deo-press-2020/august-press-releases-2020/2020/08/21/the-florida-department-of-economic-opportunity-announces-florida-s-unemployment-rate-for-july-2020
  3. https://health.wusf.usf.edu/post/medicaid-enrollment-expected-top-43-million#stream/0
  4. http://edr.state.fl.us/Content/conferences/revenueimpact/index.cfm, “Revenue Estimating Conference, Updated through 08/05//2020”
  5. https://www.kaufmanhall.com/ideas-resources/research-report/effect-covid-19-hospital-financial-health, “The Effect of COVID-19 on Hospital Financial Health”
  6. https://www.aha.org/system/files/media/file/2020/06/aha-covid19-financial-impact-report.pdf, “Hospital Losses Compared to CARES Act and PPP Provider Relief Fund”